Who is the favorite to win the elections in Colombia? Rodolfo or Petro? This is what the polls say

Colombia will decide between Petro and Hernández: the summary of the elections 5:36 (CNN Spanish) — The countdown to the second round of the presidential elections in Colombia continues its course and almost two weeks from the final date, Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández, have taken advantage of each other, by a few, very few percentage points in the intention to vote. A week after the first round that decided the options from six to only two candidates, two polls (Massive Caller and GAD3) give Rodolfo Hernández a narrow advantage over Gustavo Petro. But other pollsters, such as the National Consulting Center, Guarumo and YanHass, put Petro with a very small advantage over Hernández. The key there is the margin of error, as well as the blank vote. This is what the polls say. Massive Caller survey The Mexican company Massive Caller conducted a survey of a thousand people by telephone on June 1, 2022, three days after the first round, and the results say this: Rodolfo Hernández — 55.4% of the intention of vote.
Gustavo Petro — 44.6% of the intention to vote. The poll has a margin of error of 3.4, so Hernández’s advantage over Petro can fluctuate. GAD3 Survey The Spanish pollster debuts with a so-called “presidential tracking” in which it conducted this survey for the so-called Great Media Alliance made up of the local media RCN Radio, Noticias RCN, La Fm and the newspaper La República, among other media. According to this, the intention to vote until June 6 is as follows: Rodolfo Hernández – 52.3% (in the previous measurement after the first round, it was 52.5%)
Gustavo Petro — 45.1% (in the previous measurement after the first round, it was 44.5%). The blank vote in this survey is 2.6%. Technical sheet: 1,755 surveys carried out between May 30 and June 1, 2022.
Publication date: June 2, 2022 Guarumo and EcoAnalítica The survey carried out for the newspaper El Tiempo gives a technical tie between Petro and Hernández, as follows: Rodolfo Hernández — 46.1% of the intention to vote.
Gustavo Petro — 43.3% of the intention to vote. Margin of error: 2.5%. Technical sheet: The Guarumo SAS and EcoAnalítica Measurement and Economic Concepts SAS survey was conducted between June 1 and 4. The survey was conducted among 1,958 citizens. Publication date: June 5, 2022. Yanhass In this survey contracted by the RCN media network, it was as follows: Gustavo Petro — 42%
Rodolfo Hernandez — 41%
Blank Vote — 13%
DK/NR — 5% Technical Sheet: 1,234 face-to-face surveys in 60 municipalities in the country carried out between May 30 and June 3, 2022. Margin of error: 3.2%.
Publication date: June 5, 2022. National Consulting Center A survey by the National Consulting Center for the Colombian media CM& gives a technical tie in voting intention between the presidential candidates Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández, who went to the second round this Sunday. Rodolfo Hernández — 41% in voting intention
Gustavo Petro — 39% in voting intention.
Blank vote: 5%
Does not know does not answer: 14%. 1% of those surveyed would not vote for any, according to the results. Technical sheet: 1,200 surveys in 43 municipalities of Colombia between May 30 and 31, 2022.
Margin of error: 2.8% and 95% confidence.
Publication date: June 1, 2022. Petro and Hernández, under scrutiny for complaints and accusations 2:49 According to this latest survey, and if Sunday’s electoral patterns are followed, Hernández is stronger than Petro in regions such as the Coffee Region and Antioquia, (54% vs. 26%); the center-east of the country (51% vs. 23%) and the center-south of the country (46% vs. 34%). Petro, on the other hand, has an advantage over Hernández in Bogotá (49% vs. 39%); in the Caribbean region (48% vs. 33%) and in the Colombian Pacific (57% vs. 23%). In demographic data of the survey, the inhabitants of higher strata would vote more for Rodolfo Hernández than for Gustavo Petro (52% vs. 40%), while those of the middle stratum prefer Petro. Among the low-stratum respondents there is a technical tie: 40% Hernández vs. 39% Petro). Left-wing candidate Gustavo Petro won the majority of votes in the first round with just over 8.5 million in favor. Hernández, who calls himself an ‘outsider’ and gained strength in the last weeks before the elections, obtained 5.9 million votes, beating better-known candidates such as Federico Gutiérrez and Sergio Fajardo.