Women’s vote in the presidential election: Macron and Le Pen in the lead, Zemmour worried, according to a survey – teller report

Emmanuel Macron and Marine le Pen top the voting intentions of French women in the first round of the presidential election, but they would vote less for Eric Zemmour than men, worried for their rights if the polemicist were president, indicates an Ifop poll published Thursday in the magazine She. If the first round took place on Sunday, the French would vote for Emmanuel Macron at 25%, for Marine Le Pen at 20%, for Xavier Bertrand at 14%, for Eric Zemmour at 12%.

Further to the left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon obtains 8%, Anne Hidalgo and Yannick Jadot at 7% each, according to this poll carried out from October 20 to 22 (Bertrand hypothesis favored by Ifop given the latest polls placing him first on the right ). The other candidates get 2% or less.

In comparison, men would place Eric Zemmour ahead of Marine le Pen by voting 25% for Emmanuel Macron, 17% for the polemicist, 16% for Marine Le Pen just like Xavier Bertrand. Largely behind, Mélenchon is credited with 8%, 5% for Hidalgo as for Jadot and 3% for Fabien Roussel. This 5 point difference on the Zemmour vote reflects the fact that 66% of French women say they are worried about women’s rights and the fight against sexism if Eric Zemmour were elected president. They are also 47% to worry about this in the event of the election of Jean-Luc Mélenchon and 41% in the case of Marine Le Pen.

On the other hand, this proportion falls to a rate between 31% to 33% in the event of the election of Michel Barnier, Yannick Jadot, Emmanuel Macron or Xavier Bertrand. The two candidates who cause the least concern in this area are Anne Hidalgo (27%) and Valérie Pécresse (23%). Compared to the first round of 2017, the vote for the far right (Marine Le Pen, now including Eric Zemmour) and the sovereignist right (Nicolas Dupont-Aignan), has clearly increased among women, dropping by a quarter (27 %) to a third of the votes (34%), as in the entire electorate.

“The extreme right to the female vote is nothing specific, it is part of a general increase in the vote”national populist ‘, which today receives more than a third of the votes “, explains in the survey François Kraus, director of the “political” pole and “gender and sexuality” expert at Ifop. This progression can be explained by the figure of Marine Le Pen whose speech has become more socializing and therefore closer to the concerns of the most precarious.

Other information from the poll: the lack of interest in this poll. Overall, only 55% of French women say they are interested at this stage in the presidential election against 69% of French men, a usual gap. On the same date, five years ago, they said they were more concerned.

The idea of ​​a woman president seems to have become commonplace: 80% of women like 81% of men say they would do “rather trust a candidate to be president“, a score that even exceeds that of the confidence given to a male candidate. On the women’s side, the survey emphasizes that”being a woman in politics seems to play more positively than being a man “.

Survey by self-administered online questionnaire, with 1,030 women taken from a representative national sample of 2002 people aged 18 and over, according to the quota method.