CORONAVIRUS What will happen next? Experts have made a forecast for Christmas, the fourth wave will not come! – Topky.sk

The latest forecasts were brought by the portal Hospodárske noviny. According to experts, we will all encounter the delta variant. At the same time, new variants are constantly increasing, and in the vast majority of cases, the delta just mentioned occurs. There is already talk of a variant of epsilon from California.

The virologist Boris Klempa mentioned for the mentioned portal that the coronavirus in the delta variant will also mutate if it continues to spread. “But the extent to which new, even more dangerous variants, such as the delta, will emerge is now difficult to speculate. For example, there will be more mutations in the delta itself that could increase resistance to a previously elicited immune response.” expressed Klemp’s hypothesis. “The fact is that so far the most important variants have been those that have increased infectivity. This is a crucial feature, not vaccine resistance. And whether the virus can still move further than the delta in this direction is basically a little difficult to imagine , “ adds.

Further mutations are expected

The mathematician Richard Kollár sees it in a similar way. “More mutations are sure to come. It’s only questionable to what extent they will break down immunity,” said Kollár. He agrees with Klemp’s claim that the rate of spread will be important.

Source: Topky / Vlado Anjel

Good and bad news before Christmas

According to the Ministry of Health, the forecasts for the end of September are around 1,300 to 1,500 cases per day. With the current vaccination of people, they also expect that the admission of new patients to hospitals will reach the maximum limit of 100 people per day and the number of hospitalized will reach up to 750 patients by the end of this month. As part of the forecasts, they also expect an increased number of deaths per day, when the numbers will rise to 15 people per day and the vaccination rate will shift to only a maximum of 44 percent.

Overwhelming in this condition is apparently expected before the Christmas holidays. “We will probably all encounter the virus in November,” says mathematician Kollár. Many may not even notice the symptoms, because the delta is especially dangerous for vulnerable groups and older people. Quite surprisingly, he talks about other possible waves. According to him, the others should not be interesting at all. We will probably learn to live with the virus.

The length of the third wave will depend on a certain group of people

According to the virlogist Klemp, how long the third wave will last should depend mainly on people, they have never overcome the disease and are not vaccinated. “This will determine the duration of this wave. Of course, also in combination with what measures will be and how they will be respected. Or whether there will be massive proliferation events,” concluded Klemp. Like the mathematician Kollár, he claims that by the end of the year we will be infested with the virus.

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The virologist does not expect the vaccines to stop working in the near future. “When mutations are added directly to the spike protein, the resistance of the virus gradually increases. But it cannot be assumed that vaccines will stop working absolutely. Immunity includes not only those antibodies, but also cellular immunity, which is not so sensitive to specific mutations. , “ claims Klempa.