Analysts’ hard message to Prešov and Košice: East will be a problem! Threatening forecast after the departure of the Pope – Topky.sk

Analysts from the Data without Pathos project expect that we can expect 400-500 patients in hospitals at the end of September and about 750-1000 hospital admissions in September, most of it in the last decade of the month. However, patients should stay shorter than during the second wave.

Currently, the situation is bad, especially in the east. “Half of the patients (64) are in hospitals in eastern Slovakia in the regions of Košice and Prešov. It remains to be believed that the pope did not choose the places of his performances according to our chart, but his program team hit,” stated. At the same time, it can be expected that the situation will worsen even after the departure of the Holy Father. “We think that it remains a risk and in Dátabezpátos there is also a tip (prediction) that after his visit to Prešov and Košice it will be fuller in hospitals and will remain at the top of the charts in the number of patients,” stated.

The language of numbers

Analysts have also pointed out that patients’ intake in the last 14 days is about three times the current level. “If there are 64 patients in the East today, 200 of them have been admitted in the last 14 days, 10 percent of whom will die, the others will go home,” stated.

More importantly, however, the 200 represents about 5 to 10 percent of those infected. “We don’t know about them, most were not detected by tests. Maybe there are even more. This means that 2,000 to 4,000 people have been infected in the last 14 days. Most have spread the virus in the last 7 days and for some time. , “ pointed out.

According to them, the numbers need to be doubled next week. “Then the pope will come. We are keeping our fingers crossed for the OTP protocol, but it will not be enough. The east will be a big problem in the DELTA wave compared to Bratislava and Považie. , “ stated.

Source: Getty Images

We are not like the British or the Danes

The ratios and percentages were derived from Britain, where the delta variant hit 35 percent in May to June at a vaccination rate, but Britain gradually doubled. “With almost 3 million found positive (massive testing 1 million a day), 60,000 hospital admissions (6 percent in June, now 2 percent of those infected) and 6,000 died (representing 10 percent hospitalized and 0.2 percent from infected), ” analysts approached.

In Denmark, where they tested massively during the summer, they found 1,000 infected people a day, which analysts said they found almost all of them. “It was summer. They have 120 patients in the hospital and 60 people died in the whole summer, which represents 0.1 percent of those infected.” pointed out.

Source: SITA / AP Photo / Luca Bruno

“Slovakia with full vaccination (let’s add 75,000 Janssens to 2 doses) at 43-45 percent is unfortunately not similar to Denmark (80 percent) and Britain (70 percent). But we are more outraged. We are convinced that this will be a crucial parameter for Slovakia. for the rapid onset, but not the catastrophic impact of the delta wave, “ they added at the end.