Mathematician Kollár warns: The speed of the onset of the dark color of the machine will be shocking for many – Topky.sk

From Monday, we will have ten red districts in Slovakia, where the unvaccinated will feel a great tightening of conditions. On the COVID map of the machine it is clear to see how the situation in Slovakia is rapidly deteriorating. The mathematician Richard Kollár summarized the most important information that was heard today after the government meeting.

Archive VIDEO Minister of Education Branislav Gröhling after the Government’s deliberations on the results of coronavirus testing in schools

The meeting with Babiš and Kurz helped

He first mentioned the third, the so-called booster dose for those who are vaccinated with the mRNA vaccine. These are vaccines from Pfizer / BioNTech and Moderna. As he said, educators should also receive this dose, but they are for the most part vaccinated with the vector vaccine from AstraZeneca. The second point – vaccination for children aged 5 to 11 – also concerns vaccination. Until now, children over the age of 12 have been vaccinated.

“Vaccination of children from 5 to 11 years of age allowed with a third dose of Pfizer. For the first time during a pandemic, we overtake other countries in some vaccination step. Apparently, the meeting with Kurz and Babiš yesterday helped. But the most important information came from another source. From the Minister of Education. Of the 40,000 gargle PCR tests, only 14 were positive. There is an extreme amount of information hidden in this report. So gradually, ” Kollár pointed out. As he explained, the high numbers of PCR tests in recent days are not children who have undergone gargling tests in schools, but adults and other children.

Three groups of positive

He added that it is good for the children who underwent these, but not for those who have decided not to stutter. Namely, out of approximately 75,000 tests in the last 7 days, 35,000 were taken outside schools, of which 1,750 were positive. “That is, while the positivity of a randomly selected child in the sample that stumbled is approx. one third of a percent (14/40000), in PCR testing of adults and children in foci (and for other reasons) it is approx. 5 percent, ie 15 times more. In Ag testing, the positivity is approx. 1%, which effectively means that approx. 3% of tested Ag. would be positive on a PCR test, “ Kollár wrote, according to which we have three groups. The smallest group of them are children who underwent gargling PCR tests in schools – 0.35 percent of them.

Source: Topky / Maarty

Consequently, about three percent are those who are unvaccinated and have not survived the coronavirus but attended mass events, with a mostly positive antigen test. The third – the largest group (5 percent) consists of a selectively selected group – people with symptoms or contact with an already tested person, or those who were at mass events and returnees from abroad, while they were tested positively by PCR test.

The speed of boarding will be shocking

“It is possible to make quite realistic estimates of the situation in our country. An estimate of 1% in the general population is probably still valid, although only the braver ones, who are more likely to be infected, go to mass events. However, random children are systematically infected by namej, “ Kollár pointed out, adding that we have excellent data on the current situation in Slovakia. If we compare them with the same data next week, we will get an answer to the question of what growth potential the autumn third wave of coronavirus has. According to Kollár, if many children had already overcome the coronavirus, this would be excellent news.

“In particular, however, the most endangered ones will, in principle, be vaccinated immediately. And that’s a much better perspective than yesterday. Due to the situation, 15% positivity of PCR tests can be expected within two weeks (growth is approx. 50-70% per week), which in 10,000 tests per day means an incidence of 190 per 100,000, and these are only PCR tests. This is an average burgundy. Average. The rate of onset of dark (perhaps even black locally, is already from 250) will be shocking for many, “ Kollár pointed out in conclusion that a very dark automaton should be counted soon. “Hospitalizations will increase accordingly, several hundred will be hospitalized within a week. Almost everyone will be vaccinated, in many places only them and them. So we have a gamechanger here. “ concluded.