The complex midterm elections in which the states rule

The Republicans allude to electoral fraud, the Democrats to the safeguard of democracy States like Pennsylvania or Arizona can be decisive More than 41 million votes have already been sent by mail The mid-term elections that are voted on today, in the United States, start with the general perception of a Republican victory, both in Congress and in the number of governors that will be elected in 36 of the 50 states of the country. The latest polls give the conservatives an 84% chance of winning the House of Representatives and a 55% chance of winning the Senate. But this electoral process, which is not governed by federal laws but by state laws, will have different regulations that will not only make it difficult to count the results in a homogeneous manner, but could lead to the elections being decided in a few states, especially in concerning the control of the upper house and the result is not known until a few days later. Swing states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia or Nevada could be the ones to determine who wins the Senate. each has different rules for when and how votes are counted. But we can make an educated guess based on when each state reported results in its primary election earlier this year. https://t.co/OFyMg0XuMn— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 7, 2022 Early votingAnd all this with a climate of suspicion for possible electoral fraud on the horizon, created by Trump and his followers, which will fuel a tense wait for final results in states that do not allow identity verification of early voters, until the same day of the elections. At the moment, 24 hours before the opening of the voting centers, more than 41 million ballots have already been issued in advance, which will be added to the votes that are cast during the day today, throughout the country. , in a climate of conservative euphoria. FloridaSo they feel in the state of Florida, where Republican Ron DeSantis is running for reelection as governor against Florida Democrat Charlie Crist, who was also previously in office. In the race for the upper house, the conservative Marco Rubio and the progressive Val Demings face each other, who have received the visit and support of the heavyweights of their respective parties (Donald Trump and Joe Biden, respectively) in the last days of the campaign. .“This is the second time I have voted for Governor DeSantis,” says Noél Emmons, 43, director of one of the centers for the Urgent Care healthcare company. “He kept Florida open and free during the pandemic, is protecting children from a progressive educational agenda in schools, and believes in the security of our immigration borders. I hope he runs for president because in that position he would vote for her too,” she adds. Florida protects children and supports parents. We will not allow for the sexualization of young students, and we will not allow school officials to replace the role of parents. pic.twitter.com/Qho4ho6qcs— Ron DeSantis (@GovRonDeSantis) November 7, 2022 Emmons represents a large part of the Latino community in South Florida who came to that state “fleeing communism or political persecution.” She notes that they have found in DeSantis “someone who understands our values ​​because we believe in hard work, keeping our families safe, and not overstepping government boundaries. We love this country and this is one of the few governors who leads by putting the agenda of American interests first.”Washington DC and MarylandIn the District of Columbia, where the capital is located, the vote is shaping up to be Democratic, as happened in the last presidential elections, in which 92.1% opted for Joe Biden. “I support progressives because I stand for women’s right to decide (about abortion), debt relief for college students, and fighting climate change. And all this while creating new industries and jobs to protect the environment,” says Sydney Butler, a former adviser to the administration of former President Jimmy Carter. Similarly, Mary Belknap, an English teacher for foreign students who will vote in the neighboring state of Maryland, considered a metropolitan area of ​​Washington DC although with a Republican governor at the moment. “I will vote for the Democratic candidate for three reasons: this party’s traditional support for programs for the underprivileged in our society; for their defense of unions, which are a key component in leveling the playing field between capital and labor, and for presenting candidates who understand that negotiations and compromise are part of the democratic process,” says Belknap. Pennsylvania This is one of the states where both parties have put the most impetus and effort. Both President Biden and former President Barack Obama have been there supporting gubernatorial hopeful Josh Saphiro and Democratic Senate candidate John Fetterman, who is fighting for the seat with conservative Mehmet Oz. This also received the support and visit of the previous president, Donald Trump, in order to maintain the Republican seat that Pat Toomey leaves and favor his candidate for governor, Doug Mastriano. And it is that the seat that remains free may be the one that the upper house grants, in case of a tie, to either of the two parties. A result that will probably take several days to become public. Already in 2020, during the presidential election, Pennsylvania took four days to count votes due to the high turnout of voting by mail. On this occasion, the Supreme Court has agreed, together with the Republican National Committee, not to take into account votes that do not have the date written on the outside of the envelope, even if they arrive before Election Day. Something that has already given rise to complaints, as expressed by the governor of Pennsylvania, the progressive Tom Wolf, who stated that “no voter should be deprived of his rights simply because he made a minor error when completing his vote.” Arizona This state is another of the so-called undecided states, which can tip the balance towards either of the two parties. In this case, Democratic Senator Mark Kelly will try to be elected and serve a full term, after having held for the last two the seat left by Senator John McCain, after his death. The Republicans, represented by Blake Masters and with the support of the Former President Trump, are struggling as they hope to place their governor, secretary of state and attorney general in local government. All this accompanied by the MAGA mantra that the conservative party lost there, during the last presidential elections, due to electoral fraud. Perhaps for this reason, Biden, during some of his electoral interventions, decided to remember that “democracy is literally at stake, this is a defining moment for the nation and we must all speak with one voice.” A voice that will manifest itself today at the polls but whose final result will still take time to be known.