Tomorrow Tuesday starts an unusual group stage of the UEFA Champions League. Unlike previous editions, it will take place between the months of September and November due to the FIFA World Cup being held between November and December. The first two days will be played between this week and the next, the third and fourth in the first two weeks of October, and the final two in the last week of October and the first of November. In an analysis made by the website ‘FiveThirtyEight’, in which the options of each team for each round are compared, draws attention to the fact that Real Madrid, current champion of the competition, only has a 6% chance of being champion. Theoretically he is the clear favorite to win the group against RB Leipzig, Celtic and Shakhtar Donetsk, despite the fact that the analysis gives him a 55% chance of winning the group. In no tie is the club with the most options to go through, despite the comebacks harvested last season. FC Bayern is, according to the study, the team with the highest probability of winning the Champions League (20%). However, only in the semifinals and the final is the team with the highest probability of success, with 33% and 20% chances, respectively. Sharing a group with two giants such as FC Barcelona and Inter Milan (in addition to the modest Viktoria Plzen), means that the team with the best chance of reaching the round of 16 as leader is PSG. The French have Juventus, Benfica and Maccabi Haifa as rivals, and their chances of passing as the first classified are 78%, while the probability of winning is 16%. City, second with the most options, the one with the most the PremierThe team with the second highest probability of success is Manchester City (18%). Guardiola and his players will face each other in the group stage with Borussia Dortmund (Haaland returns to Signal Iduna Park), Seville and Copenhagen. There is only one rival that the merengue club eliminated in the previous edition and that is less likely to win the title: Chelsea, with a 2% chance. The blues have been reinforced with the additions of Fofana, Cucurella, Koulibaly, Sterling and Aubameyang, but a priori they will maintain an even pulse with AC Milan for winning the group, with Dinamo Zagreb and Salzburg completing their phase. The Italian champions only have a 1% chance of victory, level with their arch-rivals Inter and FC Porto. Reigning runners-up Liverpool also have more chances of winning the Champions League than Real Madrid, according to the report. analysis. The reds will maintain, a priori, an even fight to qualify for the round of 16, with Napoli, Ajax and Glasgow Rangers in the group. After passing all the rounds, they will reach the final with a 10% chance of winning. Bara, 5% chance One of the cheerleaders of the market has been FC Barcelona. Their unfortunate participation last year, being unable to pass the group stage and being eliminated in the quarterfinals of the Europa League against Eintracht at the Camp Nou, made Can Bara reform the squad thanks to the money obtained from the sale of assets. of the club. Lewandowski, Raphinha and Kound have joined the stars Ansu Fati, Pedri, Dembel company, but the chances of winning the Champions League are only 5%. Despite being favorites in their group against Porto, Leverkusen and Bruges, they only have a 2% chance of winning. Lopetegui’s Sevilla does not have a 1% chance of winning the Champions League, and the 48% chance of being third in the group after Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund makes the Europa League teams tremble when they see that they could face the Most successful team in the second European competition. The teams most likely to win the Champions Forecast made by the website ‘FiveThirtyEight’Bayern – 20%Man. City – 18%PSG – 16%Liverpool – 10%Real Madrid – 6%Barcelona – 5%Ajax – 5%Tottenham – 3%Chelsea – 2%Atltico – 2%RB Salzburg – 2%Borussia Dortmund – 2%