War in Ukraine: “With constant and growing Western support, Kyiv has the advantage in the long term” – Liberation

InterviewArticle reserved for subscribersWar between Ukraine and RussiaDossierSix months after the start of the war, Russia is still paying for the “staggering errors” committed from the first days of the invasion, estimates Vincent Tourret, researcher at the Foundation for Strategic Research . The lightning offensive did not take place. Six months after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the conflict is bogged down. Moscow, which controls about 20% of its neighbor’s territory, is struggling to replace its heavy losses, while Kyiv needs more Western support to hope to turn the tide of the war, analyzes Vincent Tourret, researcher at the Foundation for strategic research. When it launched the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, Russia was betting on a blitzkrieg. Six months later, where are we today? We can divide the war into three phases. The first was marked by a disorganized invasion by Russian forces, until their withdrawal from the Kyiv and Chernihiv regions in early April. Moscow then concentrated its offensive on the Donbass, in the east of the country, without being able to break the lock. In recent weeks, the conflict has entered a third, more informal phase, marked by operational exhaustion on the Russian side and uncertainty about the offensive potential of Ukrainian forces, which are gaining strength but failing to retake territories. The front is stabilizing and we are witnessing a deadlock situation on both sides. The arrival of the winter period will further hamper operations. Ukraine…