Updated 11:39 a.m. 4/8/2022, 11:18 a.m. Some time ago, news began to spread that a new party could be formed in the political field. Mikuláš Dzurinda and Ivan Mikloš are supposed to stand behind her. The ex-prime minister and the former finance minister do not openly comment on this and have not yet confirmed anything similar. But since these are names that have left a significant mark, the professional public is already answering questions about what the return of these two political elites would look like. As the head of the AKO agency Václav Hřích says, legends about the possibility of something similar have been on the Slovak market for a long time. “These two names are well-known in Slovakia, and the effect of commemorative optimism could work. People no longer remember too much the negatives associated with their work in politics, rather they remember that they had a functioning government,” he describes. But the success of Dzurinda’s new party would depend on how it would profile itself. It could appeal to Slovaks who voted for some parties of the current coalition or are dissatisfied with its functioning. “It can be assumed that it would threaten rather the parties on the center-right or the right part of the spectrum. They should definitely pay attention to SaS or KDH. It is questionable what the OĽaNO voter would lean towards. Theoretically, the new party could also appeal to the voters of Progressive Slovakia. After all, some part of his electorate is made up of voters of the current government coalition, who joined the PS after dissatisfaction with the current government,” the expert explains. There is also speculation that SaS leader Richard Sulík is in a hurry with the government crisis to prevent this party from taking away his potential. “I wouldn’t take it that seriously. He has other reasons, which he names repeatedly,” thinks Hřích. They would appeal to a disappointed voter According to the head of the AKO agency, it is questionable whether Dzurind’s and Mikloš’s party would have a chance to take away voters from other parties in the next election. “If early elections were announced even now, they would take place in six months at the earliest. That is enough time to create any party, but the second thing is whether it is enough time to communicate it,” he says. Hřích explains that whoever wants to vote in Slovakia chooses someone. Therefore, this party would probably not bring many new voters to the polls. Participation in elections has been similar in the country for a long time. But there is a certain group that Mikuláš Dzurinda could win over. “Perhaps I would rather talk about targeting the disappointed voter who goes to the polls but can’t choose at the moment,” he said. The head of the Focus agency, Martin Slosiarik, also points to voters, primarily OĽaNO, who are undecided and disappointed with the government. “The question is to what extent profiling will appeal to such a voter more towards a more liberal policy, an open market and, let’s say, the reform ‘drive’ we were used to from 1998 to 2006. Especially in today’s situation of rising prices,” he says. It is currently difficult to predict how many percent such a party could win in the eventual elections. “Many projects were able to attract voters at the time of their creation, but when the fierce battle began, the numbers were skewed. They might get into parliament, it is questionable whether it would happen again. We saw it with the party Za lýdů or Seti,” says the head of AKO. Hřích reminds that voters in Slovakia sympathize with parties primarily because of their leaders and it is mainly about their statements and slogans. If the new party headed by the ex-prime minister were to take over familiar faces from other parties, it would have no effect. “And maybe we would witness what we saw before the last election – efforts to unite. The fact that someone who was not a player among political parties had ambitions to head the united whole disturbed the comfort. It can be assumed that something similar would happen now,” he added. Political scientist: I don’t see it rosy The chances of Mikuláš Dzurinda’s party are similarly viewed by political scientist Radoslav Štefančík. “If Mikloš and Dzurind stand at the head of such a party, I don’t see a rosy future for them. Both have behind them not only political successes, but also important failures. Naturally, they are no longer talked about because they have been overshadowed by other causes. If both of them pulled strings only from behind and picked raisins from the existing elite, this party could get into parliament. However, it is premature to talk about percentages,” he comments. They could especially appeal to urban voters, who may not have a liberal view of everything. “And certainly someone with a shorter memory, so that he forgets the cases of Dzurinda’s governments, such as Gorilla, trains, or the group,” the political scientist recalls. According to him, the above-mentioned parties SaS, Progresívne Slovensko or For the People could be a threat. Štefančík thinks that after the next elections, no one will really count on Andrej Kiska’s political child, and the PS is out of parliament anyway. “And maybe he will stay there, so it is possible to discuss whether the other party is actually a threat to them,” he said. According to the political scientist, there is always a demand for new parties in Slovakia. In each election period, at least one will be created, which will subsequently enter the parliament, because at least one will always drop out of the parliament after the elections. “It’s a constant carousel and part of our political culture. In any case, it is true that Dzurinda and Mikloš cannot be talked into activities that would not lead to success. However, its success will depend on several factors. The first will be the answer to the question of who will lead the party. And the second, even more important, when will be the next elections. Premature elections could hinder their possible plans to return to politics. They know it, but so do their competitors. First of all, Richard Sulík,” concluded political scientist Štefančík. See more in the attached video above.
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