Legislative: the death of the Republican front offers 89 deputies to the National Rally

Published on: 06/20/2022 – 06:22 The National Rally won 89 deputies on Sunday, a record for the far-right party led by Marine Le Pen, made possible in particular by the end of the Republican front, whether among the voters on the left or on the right. The score of the National Rally (RN) is both unprecedented and unexpected: with 89 deputies elected, Sunday, June 19, in the second round of the legislative elections, the far-right party obtains a record number of parliamentarians in the National Assembly. A result that is all the more impressive given that the voting method for the legislative elections does not favor the RN and that Marine Le Pen has hardly campaigned, even affirming in mid-May that Emmanuel Macron would have his majority without surprise. RN had already been the only party that could boast, during the first round, of an increase compared to 2017 with 1.2 million more voters. He confirmed in the second round with a thunderous breakthrough allowing him to go from 8 deputies during the last legislature to 89. >> To read: Legislative: setback for Emmanuel Macron, without a majority to govern Marine Le Pen, herself re-elected hands down in Pas-de-Calais (61.03%), promised to embody a “firm opposition” but “responsible, that is to say respectful of institutions”. Her new deputies, she promised her constituents, will defend “(your) ideas on immigration, security, unemployment, fiscal and social justice, forgotten territories, mistreated citizens or flouted democracy”. 📹 Beyond a historic parliamentary group, we will continue the work of bringing together French people within a great popular movement, uniting patriots on the right and left, to initiate the recovery that France needs. #Législatives2022 pic.twitter.com/3poC9bhX8m— Marine Le Pen (@MLP_officiel) June 19, 2022 In an allusion to the next presidential election, which “a priori” she should not run for again, the far-right official underlined that the RN deputies would also be “the vanguard of this new political elite which will take responsibility for the country when the Macron adventure has come to an end”. a full or almost full box in its northern and southern strongholds, with in particular four out of four deputies in the Pyrénées-Orientales, three out of three deputies in the Aude or even seven out of eight deputies in the Var. But above all, it settles in an arc that goes from the old Picardy to Aube, notably winning three constituencies in Oise, two in Haute-Marne or three in Moselle, and opens up new prospects with elected officials in Gironde, in Lot-et-Garonne or in Tarn-et-Gar onne.>> To read: Legislative: the Nupes, a first opposition force with an uncertain futureSuch progress was made possible by the end of the Republican front, after an in-between rounds where the call to block on the far right has given rise to contradictory messages, especially within the majority. or even lost in the limbo of the Fifth Republic”, observed the director of Cevipof, Martial Foucault, on LCP. Emmanuel Macron’s strategy “devastating” for the republican front Thus, out of the 108 duels opposing the presidential coalition Together! at the National Rally, Marine Le Pen’s party won 62. A large majority of the eliminated Nupes candidates had nevertheless called to vote either for Together! (14) or against the RN (72), according to a count of Le Monde, but the voters decided otherwise.” Yesterday, the Republican front died at the local level: the dilution of the stake (1 deputy to be elected out of 577 ) has led voters on the left and on the far right to no longer block each other in the second round as their hatred of macronism is strong”, analyzes Mathieu Gallard, director of studies at Ipsos. 🇬🇧🗳️ Yesterday, the Republican front died at the local level: the dilution of the issue (1 deputy to be elected out of 577) led voters on the left and the far right to no longer block each other in the second round as their hatred of macronism is strong. 1/4 — mathieu gallard (@mathieugallard) June 20, 2022 On the other hand, the instructions from the presidential coalition were not as clear for the 61 duels between the Nupes and the RN, since only 16 candidates Together! called for Nupes and 16 others to vote against the National Rally, while 12 Macronist candidates adopted a “ni-ni” line and 17 others gave no voting instructions, according to a count from Le Monde. As a result, the National Rally emerged victorious in 33 constituencies, well helped by the voters Together! and Les Républicains, as explained by the CEO of Ipsos on France 2. Voice transfer: interesting estimates from Brice Teinturier (Ipsos)
In the event of a Nupes/RN duel, 72% of Together voters abstained, 16% voted Nupes, 12% for the RN. Among LR voters, 58% did not vote, 30% voted RN and 12% for Nupes.#legislatives2022 pic.twitter.com/wdTDVt5wc2— Margaux Baralon (@MargauxBaralon) June 19, 2022 one of the points on which Emmanuel Macron’s strategy will have had consequences that he will not have completely mastered: this rhetoric of saying ‘apart from me, there are only extremes’ was a bit devastating”, admits Emmanuel Rivière, director of political studies at the Kantar Institute, quoted by AFP. The President of the Republic had however promised, in 2017, to do everything so that the voters of Marine Le Pen did not have ” no more reason to vote for the extremes”. Five years later and 89 RN deputies now elected to the National Assembly, the promise has clearly not been kept.