Legislative: a new poll gives Nupes the lead in voting intentions in the first round – Yahoo News

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of Nupes, during a press conference, June 7, 2022 in Paris – Geoffroy VAN DER HASSELT © 2019 AFPPublished this Thursday, a new poll carried out by Ipsos-Sopra Steria for Radio France and France Télévisions confirms the upward momentum currently experienced by the New People’s, Ecological and Social Alliance (Nupes) in the context of the legislative elections. % of ballots on the evening of the first round which will take place this Sunday, June 12th. The presidential movement Ensemble, which brings together Renaissance (formerly LaREM), the MoDem and Horizons, would arrive one point behind, with 27% of the vote. In third position, this poll places the National Rally, with 19.5% of the vote, followed by Les Républicains, at 11%, and Reconquête, at 6%. But although announced at the top of the voting intentions in the first round, the Nupes should not succeed in winning a majority in the National Assembly, fixed at 289 deputies. The left alliance should be content with 175 to 215 elected officials, undermining Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s dreams of access to Matignon. It is Ensemble which, again according to the Ispos-Sopra survey for Radio France and France Télévisions, should win the most elected representatives, between 260 and 300. An estimate which nevertheless underlines that obtaining an absolute majority does not is not guaranteed for Emmanuel Macron, which would be a first since the establishment of the five-year term. 75% of those questioned say they are certain of their choice for this election, a figure which rises to 81% for voters from Nupes and Together, but which drops to 70% for those planning to support LR. Concern at the highest rank election approaching. After having waited more than a month to appoint a new government, leaving Jean-Luc Mélenchon free to campaign, Emmanuel Macron ended up entering the campaign late, multiplying his trips and charging his opponent.Read moreAt the Élysée as in the ministerial ranks, a victory for the rebellious leader is also an option that we are beginning to consider. Nevertheless, this survey, like the previous ones relating to the legislative elections, should be taken with caution. Abstention, always more important to renew the Parliament than to elect the president, is likely to be massive on June 12 and 19. An Ipsos Sopra-Steria survey for Cevipof, the Jean Jaurès Foundation and Le Monde estimates it between 52 and 56%, with an average point at 54%. This is above the 51.3% which was recorded on June 11, 2017.Original article published on BFMTV.com