“Within a week or two at the latest”, the Russian military on the ground in Ukraine “will move to a defensive position”. In the meantime, they will try to conquer the entire regions of Luhansk and Donetsk, a goal they can aspire to, Nikolai Sokov, analyst at the Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation in Vienna, between 1987 and 1992 explains in an interview with Adnkronos. foreign ministry in Moscow, engaged in the Start 1 and Start 2 disarmament negotiations. What will happen in the next few days will therefore be “decisive” because “the Russians no longer have the resources to continue this war of position, in which we fight for every square meter”. “The resources of the Russian military forces for this war are limited”, Moscow’s goal is therefore “much more limited than that set at the beginning” of the invasion. What will happen in the currently occupied areas of Zaporizhzhya and Kherson has yet to be defined. “But the Russian military will not move further,” suggests the analyst. Then, limited ground operations and missile attacks will continue to weaken the Ukrainian defense structures, fuel depots, command, control and communication systems, the analyst specifies, recalling how Moscow’s military objectives in Ukraine have changed since the 24th. February, from the initial one for regime change and control of Kiev. In the short future, therefore, concludes Sokov, “there will no longer be many movements of forces on the ground in Ukrainian territory, even if the low intensity fire will continue”.
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