NewsWorld"Partygate": the future of Boris Johnson hanging on the...

“Partygate”: the future of Boris Johnson hanging on the electoral calculations of the Conservative Party

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British parliamentarians are impatiently awaiting the conclusions of an internal report on “partygate” before deciding whether or not to dislodge Boris Johnson. However, according to several observers of British politics, the prime minister’s ousting depends more on the breakthrough of a rival to the front of the conservative scene.

Will Boris Johnson reap what he sowed? If he has so far escaped a vote of no confidence to sanction the parties organized in Downing Street during confinement, the Prime Minister remains in a delicate position. Although he continues to rule out any resignation, the vote of 54 deputies from his camp out of 359 deputies is enough to launch the procedure.

For John Bartle, political scientist and professor at the University of Essex, interviewed by France 24, Boris Johnson’s problem goes beyond the “partygate” scandal. The tenant of 10 Downing Street has been disappointed in his own camp, and has been for years, believes the researcher. “Boris Johnson has developed a reputation during his tenure as a person who has a very stretched interpretation of what ‘the truth’ is. to pass Brexit”. An attitude that could turn against him, while every voice counts to block a motion of no confidence.

As police have launched investigations into “potential breaches of Covid-19 rules” punishable by fines, all eyes are on Sue Gray. Responsible for an internal investigation into various “garden parties”, farewell parties and birthday parties involving the Prime Minister, this senior official is due to report her conclusions shortly.

“The report will be decisive”, continues John Bartle. Within the conservative majority, some have already publicly demanded the departure of “Bojo”. Other slingers are waiting for the publication of the Gray report to decide whether or not to try to oust their leader.

“Whoever dares to take the first step could be the next Prime Minister”

Other observers of British politics are not ready to bet on the prime minister being ousted. “If the Conservative Party thinks it can win the next election with Boris Johnson at its head then it will stay,” said British journalist and writer Stephen Clarke on France 24.

At the end of 2006, his Labor predecessor Tony Blair was questioned as a witness during a police investigation into the scandal of appointments to the House of Lords granted to donors to his party. No prosecution was subsequently initiated. “It’s a classic of British politics, prime ministers stay in place – scandal or no scandal – until a rival comes to challenge them and show themselves capable of winning the next election.”

However, names have already been circulating for some time in the British press and within the Conservative Party to replace Boris Johnson. Among the most cited are Economy Minister Rishi Sunak and Foreign Minister Liz Truss.

“Whoever dares to take the first step could be the next Prime Minister. It’s a game of chess,” analyzes Stephen Clarke, who believes that Boris Johnson’s rivals are waiting for the right moment to enter the arena.

Plunged into turmoil never seen since his triumphant accession to power in the summer of 2019, Boris Johnson’s popularity is in free fall. British public opinion criticizes him, in particular, for the management of the health crisis which has already killed 154,000 people. Hoping to bounce back, the Prime Minister thus announced the lifting of the last restrictions linked to Covid-19.

With AFP

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