In our Viavoice poll, the LR candidate is considered more “credible” than Eric Zemmour and Marine Le Pen, but struggles to expand her campaign themes.
Where is Valérie Pécresse in public opinion, one month after his victory in the primary organized by Les Républicains (LR) and two weeks of winter break? According to the survey carried out by our partner Viavoice for Release, the president of the Ile-de-France region keeps a certain base in terms of image: 34% of people questioned by the institute have a positive opinion of candidate LR. It is certainly less than the 43% having a negative image (23% do not give an answer and thus wait to know more about the former minister of Nicolas Sarkozy). But by way of comparison, his most direct opponents for access to the second round, Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour, start from much further. In our November study, the representative of the National Rally (RN) collected only 27% positive opinions (64% negative and only 9% non-response). For the one who launched under the banner of the “Reconquest!”, It was even worse: only 23% of the people questioned had a good image of him (68% bad and 11% did not comment).
“It is on its electoral base that its image remains very firmly anchored, since 75% of supporters of the right and 78% of Fillon voters in 2017 have a positive image, scoring there points in terms of” federating “its own camp”, stresses Stewart Chau, consultant for Viavoice. Pécresse is also well seen in the Macron camp since more than half of the sympathizers of the majority have a “good image” of her.
“In-between” “political and strategic”
On the other hand, only 22% of people interviewed by Viavoice want her to be President of the Republic (64% of right-wing voters and 21% who consider themselves close to Emmanuel Macron). In November, Marine Le Pen had obtained, on this same question, 23% and Eric Zemmour 16%. But unlike the two far-right contenders, Valérie Pécresse appears – ministerial experience and that at the head of the first region of France oblige – more “Credible to become President of the Republic” (33% against 28% for Le Pen and 18% for Zemmour) and 33% of respondents believe that it “Can provide useful solutions to the French”.
On the other hand, the RN candidate is no longer very far in the matter: when 25% of the panel answers that Valérie Pécresse has “The skills to get France out of the current crises”, they were 27% for Le Pen in our November poll (19% for Zemmour). The far-right candidate is also ahead of LR’s when questioning people to find out if she is “Close to people” (33% for Le Pen against 27% for Pécresse), “Represents people like [eux]” (27% against 24%), and even that she “Would have led France better than Emmanuel Macron” (25% against 22%).
Unsurprisingly, it is the great right-wing markers that allow Pécresse to post its best results of “credibility” : business world (35%), security and economy (33%). Much less on ecology (23%), social inequalities (24%), purchasing power or young people (28%). But also – more annoying for her – on the question of “France internationally” Where “Immigration” (Also only 28%).
Hence, stresses Stewart Chau, a “In-between”, “political and strategic”, in which is the candidate LR and the difficulty, for “A moderate right-wing candidate managed to convince a relative majority of LR members”, to succeed “Moult” presidential to a “Unifying republican right”. “It is, independently of” business “, a repositioning that François Fillon had not undertaken in time”,recalls the sounder. And, given the security and identity sequence at the start of the year, this is not yet the path taken by Pécresse in this political re-entry.
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