Dubair Air Show: Airbus’ success symbolizing the resumption of air transport – sputnik international

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paris, china, roissy-charles-de-gaulle (airport), boeing, dubai, boeing 737 max, air traffic, airbus, paris airports (adp), barbara pompili

Record sales for Airbus at the Dubai show, which saw the airline sector return to its pre-crisis level. No offense to some: civil aviation, driven by low cost and emerging markets, still has a bright future ahead.

Civil aviation is on the rise more than ever. At the Dubai Air Show, which closed on November 18, Airbus smashed its sales record. 408 aircraft ordered, a score almost doubled compared to the previous edition of this great aeronautics show at the crossroads of emerging markets.

The Toulouse aircraft manufacturer’s biggest customer turns out to be the American company Indigo Partner (which notably owns Wizzair, Frontier Airlines, Volaris and JetSMART) with a firm order of 255 A321neo worth 33 billion dollars. On the Boeing side, where we continue to suffer from the consequences of 737 Max scandal, it is a brand new Indian company that allows him to save the furniture. Akasa Air, born during the crisis, has thus awarded the Chicago firm its only mega-contract for the show by committing to 72 copies of its bestseller.

In Dubai, airliner sales soar

Improved also on the airport ground, where traffic is rapidly returning to its pre-crisis level. In October alone, Paris Airport (ADP) recorded an increase in its attendance of 10 million travelers compared to last year. In mid-November, when the American borders reopened to nationals of around thirty countries, transatlantic traffic returned to its pre-Covid level in just one week. The profile of these vaccinated travelers: leisure passengers leaving for short stays (4 to 7 days). A predictable trend since at the end of 2020, in China, domestic air traffic had also returned to its pre-crisis level with 12,000 daily flights.

We are therefore far from the pessimistic forecasts heard at the start of the year for the airline sector. Indeed, since the first wave of Covid and the succession of restrictions which have nailed the bulk of the civilian fleets to the ground, commentators and tourism professionals have followed one another on the sets to predict the “The end of an era“. Away also from certain pious wishes which advocated the”climate emergency“, when we explained to the French, for example, that they would have to travel in the future”less but better“, that the days of mass transport and Paris-New York for long weekends were over.

It is for these reasons that ADP, the world number 1 in airport management, will not see its reception capacities increase. Taking advantage of the almost total cessation of traffic, Barbara Pompili announced in February the cancellation of the fourth terminal project for Roissy-Charles de Gaulle. A program that she had estimated obsolete with regard to the requirements of its future Climate and Resilience law. The latter, by 2023, will ban domestic flights of less than 2h30 (for the time being, only the Paris – Bordeaux link could be affected).

Air transport buried too quickly in France?

But the evolution of the global aviation market completely takes the opposite view of France on this issue. The demand for planes has never been so great according to Airbus which, on the occasion of Dubai, published its forecasts for the market. By 2040, no less than 39,000 new devices more than 100 seats will have to fly. Up slightly compared to the previous version of the document, planes dedicated to replacing aging fleets represent less than half of these future planes (15,250). There remains therefore a delta of nearly 24,000 planes which, on closer inspection, corresponds to the current world fleet of commercial devices (all sizes combined). In short, in 20 years, twice as many airliners will fly.

Not to say that the drop in kerosene consumption of the new models compensates for such an increase in traffic, boosted by emerging markets and low cost. Main engine of air traffic growth: tourism. Before the health crisis, the World Tourism Organization was itself surprised by the faster than expected increase in tourism across the world: + 6% in 2018, boosted by the Middle East (+ 10% ), Africa (+ 7%) and Asia-Pacific (+ 6%). 4.3 billion passengers boarded one of the 1,300 airlines around the world.

Record growth, consolidated in 2019. Reflection of this dazzling development: for the month of August alone of that year, the General Directorate of Civil Aviation had counted 122.2 million passengers, or the equivalent of traffic for the whole of 2009. For now, the only factor limiting this irresistible rise in the sector seems to be… the number of new pilots.

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