Presidential 2022: Macron in the lead ahead of Le Pen, Zemmour down according to a survey – South West

Emmanuel Macron remains in the lead with 25% of the vote and the polemicist Éric Zemmour, also putative presidential candidate, loses two points in one month in the voting intentions, still behind the RN candidate Marine Le Pen, according to a poll published this Thursday.

Eric Zemmour would get 14% of the vote, down two points compared to a previous poll conducted a month ago, and would remain behind Marine Le Pen (18%, stable), in the first round of the election, according to this study Odoxa for L’Obs.

If the LR candidate is Xavier Bertrand, the latter would obtain 12% (-1 point), in 4th position. If it is Valérie Pécresse the LR candidate, she would be at 9% (+0.5 point), in 4th position. Macron would then get 25% of the vote (-1.5 point), Marine Le Pen 18.5% (+0.5 point) and Éric Zemmour 14.5% (-2 points).

If the LR candidate is Michel Barnier, he is given 9% of the vote, Emmanuel Macron at 25%, Marine Le Pen at 19% and Éric Zemmour at 14.5%.

On the left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in the lead but still less than 10% (8.5% with the Xavier Bertrand hypothesis, 9% with Michel Barnier). The ecologist Yannick Jadot (6.5 to 7% depending on the hypotheses) does better than Anne Hidalgo, given between 4.5% to 5%.

All the other candidates tested would make less than 4% of the vote, according to all the scenarios, including Arnaud Montebourg.

Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.

This poll was carried out online from November 5 to 8 on a representative sample of 3,005 French people aged 18 and over, including 2,756 registered on the electoral roll. But the voting intentions which appear in this report are established with the persons registered on the electoral lists intending to vote and having expressed a voting intention, that is to say 1,917 to 1,946 individuals, according to the assumptions in the 1st and 2nd round. Margin of error of the results between plus or minus 1.0 and 2.1 points.