EXCLUSIVE SURVEY – Presidential 2022: Xavier Bertrand, best placed LR candidate – LCI

They have four months to convince, but already some candidates for the nomination for the presidential election stand out in the camp of the Republicans. While the vote to decide between them will be held from December 1 to 4, Xavier Bertrand distances his opponents according to an Ifop-Fiducial poll for LCI published this Monday, November 8.

In total, 54% of Republican supporters believe that the president of the Hauts-de-France region is capable of winning the presidential election. Far behind, the former Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier convinces 26%. Far behind, the president of Ile-de-France, Valérie Pécresse, brings together 16%, against 3% for the deputy of the Alpes-Maritimes Eric Ciotti while 1% of supporters LR think that Philippe Juvin, mayor of Garenne- Colombes, can win the ballot.

Still among LR sympathizers, 46% consider that Xavier Bertrand is close to the considerations of the French. In his political family, Michel Barnier is well ahead of Valérie Pécresse regarding his ability to manage a crisis (28% against 17%).

And apart from the LR ranks, the situation remains the same. In the general population, 44% of those questioned believe that Xavier Bertrand is in a position to win the election. The former Minister of Labor convinces especially the oldest since 51% of over 65s wear it as a favorite – against 31% for 18-24 year olds.

Another observation: when we take the entire population, Michel Barnier remains ahead of Valérie Pécresse, even if the gap is smaller. Only 21% think he can win the presidential election against 20% for his political opponent. And these two candidates see their popularity evolve according to the age of the French. While 36% of those over 65 believe that Michel Barnier will know how to best manage a crisis, they are only 11% to think the same of the former French MP.

In addition, Michel Barnier is ahead of Valérie Pécresse (for the French and LR members) for “ability to unite the French” and the “ability to qualify the right and the center for the second round of the presidential election”.

The survey was conducted with a sample of 1,358 people registered on the electoral rolls, taken from a sample of 1,507 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over. Interviews were conducted by self-administered online questionnaire from November 3 to 5, 2021.