Numbers today and last year: Delta turned everything upside down! It infects children 3 times more, seniors half as much – Topky.sk

Analysts from the Data Without Pathos project looked at statistics from a broader perspective. According to them, it is not important to look only at the daily data of the positive, but at the total number of positive over time. The data at the end of October showed that we have exactly 4028 positive cases from PCR tests a day.

Analysts pointed out that out of 40 cases a day in July, we doubled, ie 400 cases in 7 weeks in September. And then we got to 10 times this number again, ie 4,000 cases a day, in another 7 weeks. “Today we are by far the highest positive numbers. The record of the autumn wave of 2020 was 2547 cases and the winter wave of 2021 was 3260 cases on a 7-day average,“they pointed out.

Even more important is the total of 93,000 positive cases from PCR tests in the DELTA wave since August 1, 2021. “Tomorrow, November 2, there will be 100,000 of them. In the delta wave, 2 percent of the population of Slovakia has already received a positive result from the PCR test.” stressed.

Source: Data without pathos

Last year, we did not have 93,000 cases in PCR tests until 22 November. According to analysts, we are about 3 weeks ahead and we have a very fast pace. Even faster than last year in the fall and faster than in the winter.

About 80 percent of the positive cases found have not been vaccinated to date, although experts admit that many are positive, and they are not vaccinated until the age of 12.

Delta infects children 3 times more

Looking at the children’s statistics, it is possible to see that, compared to last year’s autumn wave, in the case of the current delta, there are 3332 positive children per 5 to 20 years of age positive. “Last year it was only 1,087 per 100,000 children. Delta infects children 3 times more, certainly due to the fact that they are not locked up at home, but go to school. fast, “ pointed out.

Source: Data without pathos

However, it has also been shown that only some positive children end up in hospitals. According to analysts, this is a negligible percentage. “Out of a total of more than 5,000 patients admitted, children under 20 represent less than 9 percent, about 450 children admitted to hospitals in 3 months from August 1. Still, deaths are very rare. We do not draw any conclusions as to whether it is much or little, “ stated.

Significantly less risky seniors

However, the opposite trend is among seniors. While last autumn we had up to 1,273 seniors out of the first 93,000 positive to 100,000 people over the age of 70, this year we have only 894. In percentage terms, this was up to 42 percent last year. At the same time, a third of them are vaccinated and their risk is significantly lower during hospitalization and also in the probability of death.

Source: Data without pathos

“As a result, the number of positive high-risk seniors is halved this year. Positive seniors are most likely to be in hospital. For 90-year-olds it is 68 percent, for 80-year-olds it is 50 percent, for 70-80-year-olds 32 percent and even at 60, it’s 20 percent. “ summarized.

Design for COVID automat

In summary – there are 3 times more infected children in the delta and half at risk seniors. According to analysts, this is a significant change in the structure of the positive.

According to them, opposite or significantly different ratios of positive children and positive seniors have a fundamental influence on the assessment of the risk of the epidemiological situation. They agree with the proposal of Richard Kollár, who for 3 months advises the council of children under the age of 18 not to be taken into account at all in the COVID vending machine and also when assessing the situation in the districts. “The limits for each color of the machine are still set low. But keeping them ignored by children will allow the districts to switch to a better color sooner.” they added.