Covid today Italy, Gimbe report: stable infections

Stable coronavirus infections in Italy, like the dead. The increase in hospitalizations in the medical area (+ 5.4%) and in intensive care (+ 7.9%) is slowing. This is what emerges from the report and independent monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation in the week 25-31 August. Compared to the previous week, therefore, there is a substantial stability of new cases (45,134 vs 45,251) and deaths (366 vs 345), with a slight increase in currently positive cases (137,925 vs 135,325), people in home isolation (133,129 vs 130,785), hospitalizations with symptoms (4,252 vs 4,036) and intensive care (544 vs 504). “The new weekly cases remain stable – declares Nino Cartabellotta, president of Gimbe – both as absolute numbers and as a moving average of daily cases which stands at 6,448. However, the cases remain underestimated by insufficient testing and limited tracing activity. contacts, “he notes. In the week 25-31 August, compared to the previous one, in 9 Regions there is a percentage increase in new cases, while there are 12 Regions in which the currently positive ones are growing. In 67 Provinces the incidence is equal to or greater than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: in Basilicata, Emilia-Romagna, Marche, Sicily, Tuscany, Umbria and Veneto all the Provinces reach or exceed this threshold. There are 11 provinces with over 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: Enna (310), Syracuse (270), Caltanissetta (261), Ragusa (252), Cagliari (210), Catania (191), Palermo (172), Reggio di Calabria (167), Messina (164), Trapani (162), South Sardinia (156) (table 2). Deaths remained stable: 366 of which 42 related to previous periods. “On the hospital front – says Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services of the Gimbe Foundation – slows the increase in the number of beds occupied: compared to the previous week + 5.4% in medical area and + 7.9% in intensive care “. In absolute terms, the number of Covid patients in the medical area went from 1,088 on July 16 to 4,252 on August 31 (+ 291%) and that in intensive care from 151 on July 14 to 544 on August 31 (+ 260%). At the national level, the employment rate remains low (7% in the medical area and 6% in the critical area), but there are significant regional differences: for the medical area, Sicily (23%) and Calabria are above the 15% threshold. (17%); for the critical area above the 10% threshold Sicily (13%) and Sardinia (13%). “There is a slight increase in daily admissions to intensive care – explains Marco Mosti, operational director of the Foundation – with a 7-day moving average of 43 admissions / day compared to 40 in the previous week”. Vaccine chapter: in Italy 4.4 millions of over 50s are partially or totally devoid of vaccination coverage, of which 3.34 million (12.2%) have not yet received even a dose, with significant regional differences: from 18.6% in Sicily to 7.6% In fact, on 1 September, at 6.12, it appeared that 71.9% of the population (42.609.377) had received at least one dose of vaccine (+841.834 compared to the previous week) and 63.9% (no. 37,882,252) completed the vaccination cycle (+1,195,342). According to the Foundation, the number of administrations “increased in the last week” (1,832,949), with a 7-day moving average which, after the collapse from over 592,000 on 28 July to about 199,000 in August 20, it started to rise again reaching 270 thousand on August 31. “Despite the resumption of the rhythm of the administration – comments Cartabellotta – the number of first doses on the total is around 40%: it is impossible to estimate if and to what extent this number is destined to rise due to the unavailability of public data on bookings contrary to the provisions of the law “. From Gimbe monitoring, however, it emerges that” in the face of a substantial flattening of vaccination trends “in the over 50 bracket,” all curves rise “regarding people under 50:” in particular, the 12-19 age bracket rises and the 20-29 age bracket exceeds the coverage percentages of the 30-39 and 40-49 age brackets “.

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