Sicily towards the yellow zone, “probable escalation of hospitalizations”

Moderate risk but “with a high probability of progression”. The Sicily Region is thus classified as a whole which at this moment, according to the new parameters, seems to have the numbers for a passage in the yellow zone and is the region that is in the most complicated situation, according to what emerges from the draft of the Iss-ministry weekly monitoring. della Salute on the progress of the Covid epidemic in Italy (reference period 16-22 August). Read also The decision-making indicators also confirm this situation: the 7-day incidence, more updated because it relates to the period 20-26 August, is 200.7 per 100 thousand inhabitants, the highest in Italy at the moment. And then there is the situation of hospitals: for the percentage of occupancy of medical area beds by Covid patients, the figure as of August 24 is considered, which is 19.4% (therefore above the 15% threshold that would decree the passage in yellow). The percentage of occupancy of intensive care beds by Covid patients is 12.1% (again as of August 24), also in this case above the critical threshold of 10%. “likelihood of an escalation in the next 30 days”, ie how likely the region is to exceed hospital bed occupancy thresholds. And this probability is given (according to projections as of September 24) above 50% for hospitalizations in the medical area (in reference to the probability of reaching an occupation of the medical areas of 40%), and from 5 to 50% for intensive care ( in relation to the probability of reaching 30%).