Covid Italia, Ciciliano: “Contagion is down, but autumn is a test bed”

“The prospect, from next week, is of a regression, albeit not homogeneous everywhere, of the virus. The real test, however, will be the autumn and with it the resumption of activities. I do not think new closures will be imposed, but it all depends on the pace of vaccination “. To say this in an interview with the ‘Corriere della Sera’ is Fabio Ciciliano, medical director of the police, expert in emergency management and member of the Technical Scientific Committee. That the worst is over, according to Ciciliano “cannot yet be said. With the Rt at 1.08, at the national level we are in an expansive phase, from an epidemiological point of view. But for next week the projection is 0, 99: a regression, therefore, despite the fact that there are regions, especially those that have a greater tourist influx, such as Tuscany, Sicily and Puglia, which remain above 1. We can speak of substantial stability. near future, even if limited, they will continue to increase “. As for Sicily, Ciciliano says that the case is explained “by the high presence of tourists and the low number of vaccinated people. If it remains white it is because the regional administration has communicated the activation of new beds for Covid patients. who have reduced the filling percentages of hospital wards “. On the school front, Ciciliano thinks” that in a stable population, the same children and teachers every day, and with a high number of vaccinated people, there will be outbreaks, but they will be few and quickly traceable. With the reduced quarantine, the use of distance learning will be a rare exception. Provided that the political level is managed: at the same epidemiological conditions, there should not be different decisions on a regional basis “. Should we expect new restrictions in the fall? “I hope not – he replies – But it all depends on the circulation of the virus. When we recover after the holidays, public transport will be full again, we will certainly have an increase in positives. But how many of them will have to go to the hospital? infinite factors and one first of all: 80 percent of the unvaccinated end up in resuscitation “.