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Rain coming and less heat, weather forecast

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Some rains arrive after months of drought. The African anticyclone will creak favoring the arrival of some rains, but above all of thunderstorms at times even strong: from today until Wednesday a more unstable phase will open with fresh currents of distant Scandinavian extraction. The expected average rainfall accumulations are approximately 40-50 mm in the Alps, 20-30 mm in the Po Valley, 20-40 mm in the central-southern Apennines: mainly they will be ephemeral, stormy phenomena and will not reduce the extreme drought present. However, better than nothing, it will be important to find rain in the Center-South as well: the air will become drier and more breathable. From next week, temperatures will return to almost a normal range, with highs around 32-34 ° C. In the last 2 months we have almost always reached 37-39 ° C, at least in one Italian city. By checking the statistics carefully, we are a breath away from the heat records of 2003, we are in second position, waiting to see what will happen in August; unfortunately we are in first position due to drought with a dramatic -46% rainfall compared to the average. 2022 to date has been the driest year ever since 1800, ahead of 2017 and 2003. Precisely for this reason they are important the ‘drops of water’ that are expected in the next few hours. Mattia Gussoni, meteorologist of the site www.iLMeteo.it, however, warns that such drops could be associated with violent convective phenomena; in other words (at least in a first phase) strong thunderstorms with hail and gusts of wind are expected, the famous downbursts. , until the first part of tomorrow, a high risk of storms is expected on the northern regions, even on the plains from tonight.The rains and showers next week will instead be limited to the Center-South, in particular to the areas adjacent to the southern Apennines and towards Abruzzo, Molise and Lazio. Finally, from Thursday next week, the blue sky could return anywhere before the Great Uncertainty for Ferragosto: still the meteorological models have not reached an agreement and there is maximum uncertainty about what could happen for the famous ‘Feriae Augusti’ (rest of Augustus), established by the emperor in 18 BC. Surely at that time it was much less hot than today. IN DETAIL Saturday 6th. In the North: sun and heat well above the average for the period, thunderstorms from late afternoon on the Alps in the evening extension towards the Po Valley. In the Center: sun and intense heat well above the average for the period. In the South: sunny and warm well above the average for the period. Sunday 7. In the North: even intense thunderstorms and a thermal collapse of 10 ° C. In the Center: sun and heat above the average for the period, possible thunderstorms towards Tuscany. In the South: sunny and intense heat well above the average for the period. Monday 8. In the North: sunny with less oppressive temperatures, some residual showers. In the Center: sunny but unstable with thunderstorms on the Apennines in local encroachment to adjacent areas. In the South: sunny but slightly less hot. Trend. High pressure subsided in the new week with frequent showers, especially in the Center-South. Temperatures that locally will be, for the first time in the summer, on average or slightly below the climatic values ​​of the period.

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