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Ilaria Capua: “Covid at the beginning of evolution, caution on variants”

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“Sars-CoV-2 will not disappear either during or after the summer. It is a virus at the beginning of its race towards endemization, it is at the beginning of a macrocycle that will last years and years, certainly decades, but I believe even centuries. On the other hand, measles, also the son of a spillover, has been keeping us company for over two thousand years “. In an intervention in the ‘Corriere della Sera’, virologist Ilaria Capua, director of the One Health Center of Excellence at the University of Florida, calls for caution against an enemy that we apparently cannot free ourselves from and who will come back with new ‘faces’ and different: “Let’s put our souls in peace – he writes – because the beginning of the evolutionary macrocycle of this virus is at its dawn” and the so-called new normal “will never be as it was before the pandemic”. “We have over 50 species of animals that have become infected” with the Covid-19 virus, explains the expert, “and in some species the virus has become endeinized. Alas, to the surprise of almost all, the virus took less than a year has infected, in addition to dogs, cats, minks, hippos and wild deer populations in over 20 US states. What is happening in the populations of domestic and wild animals around the world is unknown (there are significant data only in Europe and the United States). In addition, the virus gallops where the vaccine has not arrived and there are no conditions to implement other non-pharmacological prevention measures “. And then for the next winter “we must expect that, like any self-respecting coronavirus, new variants or serotypes will emerge (one degree more away) also through the mechanism of recombination, which is typical of this viral family. In short – Clarifies Capua – ‘harlequin’ viral strains may appear with properties unknown to us. Will we have to chase them, will we have to be restricted or worse, new lockdowns? Should we fear for a new winter of anguish? it will not be as before “, the virologist predicts,” because we will have to adjust our lives in the presence of this enemy who has become devious “.” But there is more – analyzes Capua – and I think we are appreciating it these days transport chaos. The workers in the high mobility sector who are ill or infected cannot return to work and thus delays are generated in the security and check-in operations that generate they were gigantic queues-gatherings in many Italian and European airports. These are precisely those situations that favor contagion and amplify the risk of spreading the emerging variants “.” It seems paradoxical to me – observes the scientist – that in the face of a new potential epidemic wave, against which we know what to do, we ignore the behaviors that are nuisances, but they work “. Therefore, if you ask yourself what will happen in the autumn, for example if” the masks and other unbearable prevention measures will return “, Capua replies that” you know: the less we use them, the more it will be the risk of massive traffic, with the consequences we have experienced in the last 2 years “.

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