“It is clear that the fourth wave” of Covid-19 “is not just a media effect, but a reality clearly visible from the data and numbers. There are now many consecutive weeks in which there is a significant increase in cases. Today we are to an increase in cases of 50% compared to the previous week, but in those before the cases doubled every 6-7 days. There is therefore an exponential growth with a significant doubling time and therefore it is clearly a fourth wave. With these numbers we could reach 40 thousand cases at the end of August “. Giorgio Sestili, physicist creator of the Facebook page ‘Coronavirus – Scientific data and analysis’, underlines this to Adnkronos Salute, on the web with his own website www.giorgiosestili.it. Sestili, however, clarifies “that this is a different wave because we have vaccines and a good percentage of Italians are immunized”. Vaccines that “are proving useful in curbing access to the hospital and in resuscitation, and it is not insignificant – he specifies – even if in the last week there has been an increase, we are still talking about small numbers (+ 23%) for therapies intensive and hospitalizations in the medical area (+ 36%). Attention, they are almost all unvaccinated subjects “, points out the expert. But how to control this fourth wave without closing the country? “It seems to me that the vaccination obligation for some categories, for example teachers, is inevitable – suggests Sestili – Then I imagine that, if the curve of cases increases, at the end of August or September the yellow zones will also be triggered”.
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