Posted on Oct 1, 2021, 3:54 p.m.Updated Oct 1, 2021, 5:32 PM
The first round of the presidential will only take place on April 10, but the electoral campaign has already been launched. Every Friday, thanks to this new meeting, take stock of the highlights of the past week and find the analyzes and decryption of specialists from the “Echoes” Policy department.
Jadot, of a short head
End clap for the primary of environmentalists . Yannick Jadot, winner of a short header against Sandrine Rousseau, was named candidate of the Greens on Tuesday, upholding his status as favorite despite the dynamics of his rival. The 54-year-old MEP, with a more pragmatic line, obtained in the second round 51.03% of the approximately 104,000 votes cast among the 122,670 registered in this online ballot, against 48.97% for his “eco-feminist” competitor .
Yannick Jadot, who was erased in 2017 behind Benoît Hamon (PS), promised that he would defend “a peaceful society”, “a living planet […] in harmony, whatever our social backgrounds, our aspirations ”. He placed his trust in those who “innovate, invent, act, on farms, in companies, associations, communities”.
Shortly beaten, Sandrine Rousseau hinted the day after the announcement of the results that she would support her former opponent only under certain conditions, before moderating her remarks on Thursday. A situation which irritated the environmentalists, the national secretary of the Greens, Julien Bayou, even deploring “a logic of bad loser”.
LR slices for a congress, Bertrand at the helm
The Republicans decided last Saturday that their presidential candidate would be appointed on December 4 in congress , that is to say by a vote of the militants only, and no during a primary . If four of the candidates in the running – Valérie Pécresse, Michel Barnier, Eric Ciotti and Philippe Juvin – quickly let it be known that they would submit to this congress, Xavier Bertrand waited until Thursday evening to decide.
“Rather than oppose each other”, the president of Hauts-de-France suggests to the other candidates to meet “very quickly, before October 13”, that is to say the deadline for the submission of candidatures. “If a rallying congress makes sense, a confrontational congress would plunge us back into the divisions of the 2016 primary,” he warned.
But neither Valérie Pécresse nor Michel Barnier are giving the slightest sign for the moment of wanting to step aside behind him. Quite the contrary.
Le Pen puts the emphasis back on immigration
Marine Le Pen staged, Tuesday, the presentation of her project on immigration, thus putting the spotlight on the fundamentals of the RN. If she is elected to the Elysee Palace, Marine Le Pen intends to submit to referendum a bill “citizenship-identity-immigration” of 18 articles. It aims to recast “all the law applicable to foreigners” and to include “national priority” in the Constitution, in order to ensure the “primacy of French law” over international standards and treaties.
Combined, the measures it advocates range from the expulsion of delinquent foreigners to the end of family reunification, including the restriction of the right to asylum, the end of land rights, the reduction of the period of validity of residence permits and the “ban on all communitarianism”. The national preference would be put in place “in terms of housing, employment or social assistance”, family allowances such as access to public jobs to be “reserved for the French”. “Being French, she hammered, is an honor and a privilege. “
A few hours earlier, the government had also put the immigration file at the heart of the debate, announcing that the granting of visas will be tightened within a few weeks for nationals of Morocco and Algeria. and Tunisia. The decision, “drastic”, “unprecedented”, is “made necessary by the fact that these countries do not accept to take back nationals that we do not want and cannot keep in France”, justified the spokesperson of the government, Gabriel Attal.
PrésiTrack, our new presidential poll
OpinionWay launched, Thursday, in partnership with “Les Echos”, CNews and Radio Classique, PrésiTrack, a new barometer to monitor the voting intentions for the 2022 presidential election, but also the challenges of the campaign. Six months before the election, the photograph of public opinion in the first wave of this poll is clearly to the advantage of Emmanuel Macron.
According to the assumptions on the right, the head of state is credited with 24 to 28% of the voting intentions. And, in any case, in a position of strength. More than one in three voters (35%) and even almost all of those who say they are supporters of En Marche (93%) think that he will win the race in 2022, against barely 13% for Marine Le Pen and 11% for Xavier Bertrand.
If the first round took place this Sunday, the RN candidate would get between 20% and 26%. The configuration that would be the most unfavorable to him would see the far-right polemicist Eric Zemmour formalize his candidacy and win 10% of the vote.
On the right, the gap seems to be narrowing between Xavier Bertrand and Valérie Pécresse. On the left, no candidate stands out or crosses the 10% mark. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Yannick Jadot and Anne Hidalgo stand in a pocket square, between 6 and 8%.
Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.
And also…
Macron tackles Zemmour … During a visit to the National Library of France, the Head of State attacked Eric Zemmour for the first time on Tuesday. Not directly, not by quoting him, but by evoking his own France, at the antipodes of that of the polemicist. “Our identity was never built on either narrowing, or first names, or forms of tension”, declared the president, taking as an angle the subject of foreign first names, which Eric Zemmour proposes to ban .
… And LR is looking for a response. Without being officially a candidate, Eric Zemmour is gaining ground in the polls. To the point of also threatening the right. Several tenors of the Republicans sounded the charge on Wednesday against the polemicist, Damien Abad even offering him a debate.
The Assembly is launching a “citizen consultation” on abstention. Should we recognize the blank vote? Make voting compulsory? From 16 years old? MPs participating in the fact-finding mission responsible for understanding the reasons for abstention in the various elections announced Friday the launch of an online “citizen consultation”. Composed of 25 questions, it is open until October 31. To participate it’s this way .
Roussel wants to recruit 90,000 teachers. The Communist Party candidate for the presidential election proposes, in an article published Tuesday, to “extend the time of presence of students at school by bringing it to 32 hours per week” and to recruit 90,000 teachers over the five-year term. In what he calls a “Youth Pact”, Fabien Roussel wants to “give meaning to learning, with better working conditions. “
Montebourg to allocate vacant housing free of charge against renovation. The ex-PS presidential candidate, who advocates a “return to the land”, proposes that the State buy back the “million” of vacant housing in the countryside to reallocate them free of charge to households wishing to access homeownership. “It is a policy of regional planning”, argued Arnaud Montebourg, taking the example of initiatives carried out in southern Italy “with phenomenal success”.
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