Covid, Sextiles: “40% more infections in 7 days, it’s Omicron effect”

Omicron variant in Italy, “new leap with a 40% increase in infections in the last 7 days”. It is the analysis, for Adnkronos Salute, of the physicist Giorgio Sestili who has been analyzing and monitoring the epidemic trend of Sars-CoV-2 since the beginning of the pandemic. “This increase is most likely due to a very rapid spread of Omicron also in Italy and this is changing the cards on the table and is blowing up the mathematical models that predicted a peak for Christmas”. “We knew of the speed of infections due to this new variant – recalls Sestili – In the United Kingdom it is dominant and it is likely that Italy will be in the same condition as Denmark in seven days. Omicron and in a week they reached 40%. Italy could suffer the same fate, today we could already be around 10-15% prevalence of Omicron compared to the other variants and reach 40% in 7-10 days ” . When asked what will happen at the epidemiological level during the holidays, Sestili points out that “there is no way to predict, the infections will rise and we will exceed the historical peak of cases of a year ago, reached in mid-November with 40 thousand cases”. On what extraordinary measures could be taken tomorrow by the government control room, “a lockdown from an epidemiological point of view can help, but the consequences on the economy and society must also be weighed. Instead, it is necessary to intervene on large gatherings such as the stadium of football. In Germany they return to games behind closed doors “.