Covid today Italy, incidence and Rt

Coronavirus in Italy, incidence rising with 46 infections per 100 thousand inhabitants, and Rt also rises, now at 0.96 and which is expected to exceed the critical threshold in the coming days. This is what emerges from the report released by the Higher Institute of Health (Iss) on the monitoring of the control room relating to the trend of Covid-19, which also reports a hospital Rt above the epidemic threshold at 1.13. On the other hand, employment in intensive care units remained stable, at 3.7%, while that in the medical area rose to 4.5%. 18 moderate-risk regions and 3 low-risk regions, with a sharp increase in cases not associated with transmission chains. RT UP, ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLD IN THE NEXT DAYS The contagion index in Italy still rises: in the period from 6 to 19 October, the average Rt calculated on symptomatic cases was equal to 0.96 (range 0.83-1, 16), “just below the epidemic threshold and increasing compared to the previous week (when the value was 0.86)”. Report that indicates that the critical threshold will be exceeded in the next few days. And in fact the ‘augmented’ RT, projected a week later, is calculated at 1.14 (as of 19 October 2021), based on partially complete and partially imputed data for the last week, specifies the ISS. On the other hand, the Rt based on cases with hospitalization has already exceeded the epidemic threshold: it is 1.13 (1.07-1.19) as of October 19, the one reported in last week’s report was 0.89.